WELCOME

The Publius Papers is an exploration of the fundamental dynamics of our Republic and how they are adrift. Our nation can be strengthened with thoughtful and contemplative discussion.

Let us move away from political rhetoric and no longer see "R" vs "D" or "left vs right".

We The People must first learn to cut loose from TV's Political Cult of Personalities, the latest party propaganda and "Talking Heads" in order to rediscover The Republic for what it truly was ment to be.

Only then can We The People restore The Republic.




Sunday, April 25, 2010

Finance Bill Power Grab


Ram Emanuel said early in 2009 not to miss the opportunity of taking advantage of a crisis. And so the tidal wave came. It started with the TARP grab of banks and mortgages. Then onto owning GM and an attempt at Ford. Later health insurance companies and student loans. The eyes are on the prizes of national energy through Cap & Trade and Arizona’s boarder. And now a new financial industry crisis.

This newest reform bill provides Obama and his regulators vast control of the financial markets and risk-taking. Essentially, it transfers more ownership over credit allocation and the financial industry to the federal government. Obviously, previous heavy regulation has not stopped the pandemonium, but with this new bill banking will fundamentally become a utility. The free market will tap its breaks to a near stop.

It is uncertain if the new regulations will slow the risk of future financial crisis and bailouts. Regulators will determine those firms that are at risk, set capital and margins, have veto power over executive decisions, and determine compensation. Unelected regulators will determine your pension, not you or the experts who know how to run them.

The distinction between commercial and investment banks as set forth by Glass-Steagall Act of 1932 will be nullified. Now rules will be written by regulators at the Federal Reserve, Treasury, CFTC, FDIC, SEC, etc not elected representatives. During his April 22nd speech, Obama denounced “the furious efforts of industry lobbyists to shape” the bill “to their special interests.” Ironic given he is making speeches to “lobby” the bill to pass. Unless our modern political process radically changes, it is likely lobbying on all fronts will continue.

Passing the bill will bring enormous changes and political influence not seen before. A central regulator will determine which transactions go onto over-the-counter trading. Surely, when trades go bad in the next “crisis” a “too big to fail” solution will occurred and your pension will be “saved” by government ownership. The SEC will have the authority to give shareholders ownership over corporate board elections and compensation. What have been state’s rights to provide over site of corporate law will be federalized. This will provide large and influential activists more leverage to determine agendas on all business. Not “industry lobbyist special interests”, but government’s “special interests”.

Unions will have more influence over corporate decisions, and with cohorts, public pension funds. Easier unionization, energy regulation (cap & trade) and determing which investments go to which businesses and countries. The political class and non-financial organizations will have increasing power over businesses and the economy. The “free markets” that grew the country will no longer be free.

Delaware Democrat Ted Kaufman’s position on the bill sums up what many in Washington and the industry are warning. Recently the Senator stated: “by expanding the (federal) safety net – as we did in response to the last crisis – to cover ever larger and more complex institutions heavily engaged in speculative activities, I fear that we may be sowing the seeds for an even bigger crisis in only a few years or a decade.” The emotional rhetoric missing the facts that is happening now should be abandoned. A serious look at the details and cautious thought on their implications should be made. The opposition should take a lesson from Ram Emanuel and not miss the opportunity of this crisis.

Sunday, April 18, 2010

Bigger Government, Less Private Sector

Economic history has demonstrated that when lowering taxes the economy picks up (more money to spend) and ultimately more dollars flow into the Treasury. Roosevelt raised taxes and prolonged the depression. Eisenhower lowered taxes and along with other dynamics, ushered in unprecedented prosperity. Kennedy lowered taxes resulting in a surplus that Johnson used on his War on Poverty. Reagan lowered taxes to bring the country out of a deep economic malaise resulting in “the roaring 80s”. Clinton initially raised taxes, found the recession got worse, and then lowered them to make the 1990’s one of the most successful economic periods. Upon inheriting a normal cyclical recession at the end of the Clinton era, and 9-11 which saw the bond market collapse, Bush lowered taxes and we saw a six year run of a strong economy.

So now, the question for President Obama is… if raising taxes brings less prosperity and dollars for the Treasury, why do it? He is not ignorant of the historical evidence that leveying higher taxes decreases government revenue. AND he does understand that higher taxes diminish the private sector. This is the strategy that he is counting on to make government stronger.

As the private sector strengthens, government weakens. By weakening the economy the Administration and supporters in the Congress and Senate aim to increase government’s relative power. Their enemy is the private sector. The expedient approach to defeating this enemy is to raise taxes.

Ask yourself…would you rather pay more taxes so you have less to spend on groceries, or pay less taxes so you have more to spend on groceries? Who’s your ally? Who’s your enemy?